Without such broad support for Trump among White evangelicals, Biden would have beaten him by more than 20 points. Here are some of the other key findings from the analysis: This analysis is based on a survey of 11,818 members of Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel conducted Nov. 12-17, 2020, shortly after the general election. Biden made a mistake by putting the selection of a female running-mate ahead of choosing the best person for the job it looks like a pandering move For our analysis of Americans views of news coverage, we group respondents by their news media diet. About two-thirds of Biden stories (65%) were framed around ideology and agenda, while about one-third (35%) focused on leadership and character. Voters as a group were considerably older than nonvoters. White women, a group sometimes categorized as swing voters and who broke nearly evenly in 2016 (47% for Trump to 45% for Clinton), favored him in 2020 (53% to 46%). Voters ages 65 and older stand out in their voting behavior: 55% say they voted absentee or by mail in the 2020 election 13 percentage points higher than the share of adults under 65 who cast a ballot by mail. Trump mention: Each story was analyzed for whether former President Donald Trump was mentioned. In the 2020 election, men again divided nearly evenly (50% Trump, 48% Biden), while Bidens advantage narrowed to 11 points among women (55% to 44%). In 2020, Biden won college-educated Hispanic voters 69% to 30%. The one area where there was less divergence by media outlet group, however, was in the framing of the Biden stories. Many Americans say early media assessments of Biden administration were mostly positive, fair and accurate, 6. Rich Thau, the project coordinator, has released a lot of interesting comments by voters on these panels, although he admits his sample size is too small to represent a poll in its own right. Nonvoters are citizens who were not found to have a record of voting in any of the voter files or told us they did not vote. Trumps tweets sometimes hurt his cause and image. Today, 52% of registered voters say that if the election were held today, they would cast their vote for Biden; a smaller share of registered voters say they would cast their ballot for Trump . Voters think Bidens the alternative to President Trump, the lesser of two evils.. Voters believe Trump opposes regulations that slow down our economy This provides an important difference from normal polls, in that voters are allowed to speak their mind in their own words. The economy and immigration are the topics with the highest shares saying they are not getting enough attention (44% and 43%, respectively). DJ Drummond is the real name of an occasionally real person. White voters were most likely to say they voted in person on Election Day (30%). Amid such an ideological quagmire, a reactive, confusing and often contradictory immigration agenda has emerged from this administration. A SWOT analysis of Trump vs. Clinton Opinion Jul 08, 2016 Analytics Government Competitive assessment takes the publicly known attributes of a product and compares it to its competition.. And smaller shares of voters said they either voted in person on Election Day (27%) or in person before Election Day (27%). 1. While Bidens popular vote differential was an improvement over Hillary Clintons 2016 2-point advantage, it was not as resounding as congressional Democrats 9-point advantage over Republicans in votes cast in the 2018 elections for the U.S. House of Representatives. Biden has shown signs of dementia and is not mentally capable of being president he cant finish a sentence and speaks gibberish Biden stopped applying the aggressive policy to unaccompanied kids but has continued to expel individuals and families. Specifically, outlets whose audiences lean to the right politically put their heaviest emphasis on immigration, which was the focus of 20% of their stories related to the Biden administration. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. If this threshold was not met, stories were coded as neither positive nor negative. But, at a border that is already hyper-politicized, hyper-policed and hyper-surveilled, the last two administrations have still largely relied on the enforcement-focused infrastructures and blueprints inherited from their predecessors. Biden officials have also said they will be proposing a new rule to further limit asylum eligibility, a move that has incited anger among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. However, since the Afghanistan withdrawal, Biden's dipped below his predecessor . President Trump has offensive reactions to events One other key difference was that in 2017 the new presidents political skills was the most covered topic, while it ranked fifth in 2021. White Catholics made up 14% of all voters. A majority of nonvoters in 2016 (55%) were Democrats or Democratic leaners, compared with about four-in-ten (41%) who were Republicans or leaned toward the Republican Party. The average unfavorable rating told a similar story, with Biden at 52.4% and Trump on 55.8%. All members of the American Trends Panel who took the 2020 post-election survey whether they voted or not were asked which candidate they preferred in the race for president. Recently, the Biden administration announced it would step up expedited removal, despite having previously rescinded Trump's own sweeping expansion of these fast-tracked deportations. Overall, 32% of stories about the Biden administration had a negative assessment, while 23% had a positive one and 45% were neither positive nor negative. Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump 306-232 in the Electoral College and had a 4-point margin in the popular vote. Roughly half (49%) knew that the administration has both reentered the Paris agreement and rescinded construction permits for the Keystone XL pipeline, 43% correctly said that the administration has stopped federal funding for the border wall but not ordered that the wall be dismantled, and 33% knew at the time of the survey that the Biden administration was meeting its goal of vaccinating 1 million Americans per day. Now on to Trumps strengths, according to the voters: Voters think Trump did a great job with the economy with record low unemployment before the pandemic, and now were making a comeback Meanwhile, even as officials publicly argue against reliance on the policy, they have expanded its use multiple times, abruptly, to target Venezuelans and now also Nicaraguans, Haitians and Cubans. Trump received the votes of 97% of conservative Republicans and leaners but a smaller majority (79%) of Republicans who describe themselves as moderate or liberal. Overall, just under half of U.S. adults (46%) say that the early coverage theyve seen about the Biden administration has offered mostly positive assessments, while far fewer 14% say the news theyve come across has given mostly negative assessments. In 2020, 85% of voters who cast a ballot for Trump were White non-Hispanic; this compares with just 61% of Biden voters. These qualities are notably absent from Bidens arsenal. In contrast, rural voters were more likely to report voting in person on Election Day. But those numbers varied widely by types of media outlets. Trump gets credit from some voters for de-escalating tensions with Iran even as he confronts Iranian nuclear misconduct Then, 74% of all stories were oriented around his character and leadership, compared with only about one-quarter (26%) framed around his ideology and policy agenda. During his tenure, Mr. Trump has: Passed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which in part lowered the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%. Or, such a story could be framed around the evaluation of the president in terms of his outreach to and relationship with members of Congress, which would then be coded as leadership and character. Some 2,000 migrants stranded on the southern border of Mexico demanded freedom of transit during President Biden's visit to the country. Biden has soft advantages here, but these threats could keep Trump from winning critical independents and moderates in the election if he ignore them. In outlets with a more mixed audience, the coverage of the Biden administration was also mixed: 25% of the stories had a positive assessment, 24% had a negative one and 51% were neither positive nor negative. Some nuances emerge, though, within peoples media diets. Asian Americans (a relatively small but fast-growing group in the U.S.) made up 4% of voters and an identical share of nonvoting citizens (note: nonvoters in this analysis do not include noncitizens). Despite strong approval ratings for his first six months in office, since August 2021 President Biden's disapproval rating has been higher than his approval rating. By contrast, about a third of Trump voters (32%) voted by mail. Among the other most common types of sources were groups focused on policy issues (such as the ACLU and Susan B. Anthony List) and/or experts (such as academics), which were cited in 32% of stories, Democratic members of Congress (27%), Republican members (23%) and other journalists or media organizations (20%). He also resumed programs that allow some from the Caribbean and Central America to reunite with family members in the US, and a task force is still trying to reconnect families separated by the Trump administration. Even on the day that President Joe Biden delivered his most jarring warning yet that democracy is in severe danger, Donald Trump teased how he might use a new White House term to further erode . For example, while the topic of the economy was covered most heavily by outlets with a left-leaning audience, a large majority of Americans, regardless of their media diet, report hearing a lot about the passage of the economic stimulus bill in the news. Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. The level of positive coverage was roughly on par with that of George W. Bush and Bill Clinton, but lower than for Barack Obama with all four higher than Trump. It is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts. Voters do not blame Trump for the virus, but expect his decisions to be for the best interests of the nation. There was virtually no difference in the frequency of those mentions across outlets with left-leaning audiences (50% of stories), outlets with right-leaning audiences (47% of stories) and outlets with a mixed audience (47% of stories). At intellectual war with the Demonic Left, DJ posts whatever is on his mind, and sometimes has been known to be worth the read. When asked whether five key priorities of the new administration were getting too much attention, too little attention or the right amount of coverage, only one such topic the COVID-19 pandemic was identified by a majority of Americans (58%) as getting the right amount. Protestants made up a majority of those voting Republican in 2020, just as they did in 2016. Most Americans have been following news about the Biden administration closely, 5. If you continue to use this site we will assume that you consent to this usage. Now I should mention another important point about my analysis. But generational change in the electorate was quite apparent. Some voters believe our country is in a shambles and another four years of President Trump will leave us without any allies in Europe. Biden isnt a better option why make a different choice if its not a better choice? A Biden-Trump rematch risks worsening our country's already deep divisions. In 2020, 31% of Trump voters had at least a four-year college degree similar to the share of Trump voters who had a college degree in 2016. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. This study looks at coverage of the Biden administration in two different ways: 1) studying the content published by different news organizations, and 2) asking Americans about their opinions on coverage of the administration. Both Trump and Biden were able to bring new voters into the political process in 2020. Perhaps reflecting the enduring impact of this long-term age gap, voters ages 30 to 49 were also solidly in the Democratic candidates camp in 2020, favoring Biden by 12 points (55%-43%), similar to Clintons share among this age group. Biden and Trump benefited from similar levels of party loyalty in 2020, with Trump receiving 92% support among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents and Biden getting 94% among Democrats and Democratic leaners. Nearly two-in-ten voters who cast a ballot for Biden in the 2020 election (19%) were Black, identical to the share of Clinton voters in 2016 who were Black. Part of Trumps enduring legacy is tied to being the president who separated families at the US-Mexico border and threw kids in cages for days or weeks, often with little communication or information provided to keep track of them. In 2020, they were 8% of the total, though their lower rate of turnout compared with older age cohorts is reflected in the fact that they were 15% of eligible nonvoters. Outlets with right-leaning audiences diverged from the other media groups in some types of sources they cited in stories about the Biden administration. News coverage of President Joe Bidens early days in office was modestly more negative than positive, and most of the stories were centered around his ideology and policy agenda rather than his character and leadership a contrast with coverage of former President Donald Trump at the start of his administration, according to a new Pew Research Center study that examines media coverage of the new administration. NASDAQ Comparison Chart DOW JONES Comparison Chart Trump runs his mouth too much (but he gets the job done) For more details, see the methodology. The media has sold Biden as the perfect guy since he became the leader in the race to be the DNCs choice for President. Members of Pew Research Centers nationally representative American Trends Panel were matched to public voting records from three national commercial voter files in an attempt to find a record for voting in the 2020 election. The list is fairly long and growing: Voter surveys conducted for major news organizations, including the exit polls by Edison Research for the National Election Pool and AP VoteCast by NORC at the University of Chicago for the Associated Press and Fox News; the. Biden looks stupid for attacking monuments and historical figures who are long gone Younger adults continue to make up a larger share of Democratic voters compared with Republican voters. Voters think Biden has the experience to do the job. Among those who voted for Clinton and Trump in 2016, similar shares of each about nine-in-ten also turned out in 2020, and the vast majority remained loyal to the same party in the 2020 presidential contest. President Joe Biden speaks with border protection police on the Bridge of the Americas border crossing between Mexico and the US in Texas this January. 1615 L St. NW, Suite 800Washington, DC 20036USA A majority of absentee voters said they had previously voted this way before the 2020 election (56%). Biden, by contrast, has stopped holding migrant families in Ice detention, so far. Racial inequality is the topic that the highest percentage of Americans say is getting too much attention (36%), though the sense overall is divided, with 28% saying the issue is getting too little attention and 35% saying the level of coverage given to racial inequality is about right.3. Soon, Bidens top political operatives started pushing him to adopt a more hardline approach, while some of his immigration experts jumped ship, unable to stomach enforcing some of the same Trump-era practices they loathed. Trump stands out, while Bidens never done anything to stand out On balance, these shifts helped Biden a little more than Trump. Bidens a puppet and wont be the man in charge hes very scripted and controlled by others White non-Hispanic Catholics were more supportive of Biden (at 42%) than they had been of Clinton in 2016 (31%), but Trump still captured a solid majority of their votes (57%). Do not just show up at the border, Biden warned potential migrants. Meanwhile, White men with a four-year college degree have become increasingly supportive of Democratic candidates, breaking close to evenly in 2016 (47% for Clinton, 44% for Trump) but supporting Biden by a 10-point margin in 2020. Its unclear what Biden has done in the past 40+ years to help heal race issues To work them into my analysis of Trumps situation, Bidens strengths and opportunities fall into Trumps threats, while Bidens weaknesses and threats fall into Trumps opportunities. But a post on social media claims one difference . Stay where you are and apply legally from there.. With Trump, the numbers were roughly reversed, with 74% framed around leadership and character and 26% around policy and ideology. Trumps honesty appears challenged The survey also asked how much Americans had heard about each of seven specific efforts and initiatives of the new administration. Voters were nearly evenly divided on party affiliation, with 50% identifying or leaning Democratic and 48% identifying or leaning Republican, similar to the 51%-48% split in 2016. While a traditional SWOT analysis follows the S-W-O-T pattern, I will start by building the case against him, then follow with the good news, so my analysis will actually follow a W-T-S-O pattern, which is less elegant as an acronym, but which I think presents the situation in a proper light. It also provides a comparison with findings from our previous studies of the 2016 and 2018 electorates. The survey also assessed Americans awareness of the news by asking five fact-based questions related to issues early in the Biden administration. President Joe Biden (L) waves alongside his son Hunter Biden after attending mass at Holy Spirit Catholic Church in Johns Island, S.C., on Aug. 13, 2022. Passage of the economic stimulus bill and the distribution of the COVID-19 vaccine topped the list, with nearly eight-in-ten U.S. adults (77%) saying they had heard a lot about the stimulus package and 74% hearing a lot about vaccine distribution. Those who voted in 2018 but not in 2016 backed Biden over Trump in the 2020 election by about two-to-one (62% to 36%). Finally, on the DOW Jones, Trump is at 33.85% compared to Biden at 8.78% a difference of 25.07%. The surveys are weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education, turnout and vote choice in the three elections, and many other characteristics. Biden and/or members of his administration were by far most likely to be cited, appearing in 82% of all stories studied including 70% of stories in outlets with right-leaning audiences. If his decisions cause harm, he will be blamed for their effects The COVID-19 pandemic has been such a pervasive part of recent news that its presence in coverage was measured separately. Americans more familiar with Biden administrations proposed minimum wage increase than vaccination goals, Appendix A: Grouping outlets by audience ideology and grouping survey respondents by media diet, Appendix B: Detailed tables comparing news coverage of the first 100 days vs. 60 days of the Trump administration in 2017, Appendix C: Content analysis detailed tables, Use of anonymous sources uncommon in early Biden coverage, least likely in outlets with right-leaning audiences, Trump mentioned in about half of Biden stories during early weeks in office, but less so over time, Immigration was a top focus of early Biden coverage, especially among outlets with right-leaning audiences, Q&A: How Pew Research Center studied press coverage of the Biden administrations early days, In a Growing Share of U.S. Marriages, Husbands and Wives Earn About the Same, Gun deaths among U.S. children and teens rose 50% in two years, Key facts as India surpasses China as the worlds most populous country, Americans Are Critical of Chinas Global Role as Well as Its Relationship With Russia. FILE - Former President Donald Trump announces a third run for president as he speaks at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Fla., Nov. 15, 2022. Most controversially, Mr. Biden has kept Trump-era tariffs on China, despite the fact that some economists and several top U.S. officials, including Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen, question. About four-in-ten (39%) say the assessments have been about an even mix of positive and negative. Cumulatively across the S&P 500, Trump is at 28.44% compared to Biden at 7.71% a difference of 20.72%. Now he's implementing system-level changes to make progressive policies permanent. The coronavirus was very prevalent throughout coverage in the outlets with left-leaning and mixed audiences, with the economy as the top specific topic area. Those policy changes have been accompanied by the creation of limited legal pathways, but their eligibility requirements demand a level of financial resources and international connections that the western hemispheres most vulnerable, forcibly displaced people likely cannot produce. Outlets with right-leaning audiences had fewer stories in which COVID-19 was a major focus (meaning it was a part of half or more of the story): 29%, versus 45% of the left-leaning audience outlets and 44% in the mixed audience group. Although turnout was strong, stark demographic differences between voters and nonvoters similar to those seen in past U.S. elections were present in 2020, a pattern familiar to political observers. The survey also asked Americans which of these five issues is getting the most attention from their main news sources (rather than the news media overall). In 2020, Trump won 65% of White non-college voters nearly identical to his 2016 share even as Biden outperformed Clinton among this group (33% of White non-college voters backed Biden, up from the 28% of this group Clinton won in 2016). At the same time, the outlets with right-leaning audiences were much more likely to cite other journalists and media outlets (35% of stories, versus 17% of stories from outlets with left-leaning audiences and 15% in mixed-audience outlets). (Americans who consume news from these outlets were also much more likely to report hearing a lot about immigration policy reform, according to the survey data.) Stories with a negative assessment are defined as those with at least twice as many negative as positive statements related to the Biden administration, while those with a positive tone had at least twice as many positive as negative statements. (+1) 202-857-8562 | Fax That puts Harris' rating under . Ideological divisions within the parties were also apparent in the vote, with both Trump and Biden doing better among the ideological core of their parties. So are Bidens border policies turning into a copy of Trumps? This study classified stories into one of two main frames (whichever accounted for more than 50% of the story): For example, an article or segment about health care could be framed around the legislative differences in what the administration is proposing versus members of Congress (thus coded as core ideology and policy agenda). Thestock market has hitrecord high after record high, helping moreAmericans build wealthand secure their futures." , Trump is at 33.85 % compared to Biden at 52.4 % and Trump on %! Potential migrants balance, these shifts helped Biden a little more than Trump is at 33.85 % to! Related to issues early in the electorate was quite apparent experience to the! 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